www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/nsw/how-police-stumbled-on-fugitive-20111210-1oooz.html
Mr Malcolm Naden's Bounty.
They have evidently increased his Bounty from $100k to $250k. I think it should be $500k. Here's why;
Likelyhood to seriously reoffend - probably moderate, or higher.
Likelyhood to burgle, avoid arrest - probably extremely high.
Size of Police Force tracking him down... According to this article, and read a few other articles.... look at the photos...
Here's a guesstimate of police staff and equipment.
General Police - 10
Air Police - 6
Special Forces - 10
IT/Communications Police - 4
Night security watch / change over - lets go with 10.
Total of 40, and I think that is "unders". Under Estimate.
Average staff price including living away allowances, travel, etc, etc - got to be $1,000 per day.
They say the operation will last maybe 30 days+.
Air Time for choppers, say 100hrs+ x $1000/hr+ = an easy $150k.
Police Communications Van, equipment, technology, depreciation of same, general expenses, etc. You could chew up $100k.
Staff/Police = 40 people x 30 days x $1000 per day = $1.2M, or round it down to $1M.
This guy is obviously skilled in the bush. If there's a chance he is being assisted, then there is a chance that a significant bounty may assist, and save Operational Costs by maybe $500k.
I guess most of these people are already a base cost, but the over time, danger money, expenses, air time etc, would easily equate to $250k of Extra Costs, extra to normal duties. So maybe the $250k bounty is roughly right. But I think this warrants a $500k bounty.
Would it bring out a few Bounty Hunters!? 
Their best chance is probably through the Police Dogs and Aboriginal Trackers if there are any left.
Lets get an old fashioned posse together Simo imagine the toys we could buy for 250k then we can have a Lynchin
They say the operation will last maybe 30 days+.
Air Time for choppers, say 100hrs+ x $1000/hr+ = an easy $150k.
Police Communications Van, equipment, technology, depreciation of same, general expenses, etc. You could chew up $100k.
Staff/Police = 40 people x 30 days x $1000 per day = $1.2M, or round it down to $1M.
Coffee, donuts, Maccas x 30 days=$ 10k
What I find intriguing is this bloke is an excellent bushman but fails to wear gloves when he does a break & enter and leaves his fingerprints all over the joint. He has been caught out on at least 3 occasions.
I don't reckon they will get him.
Simondo: The Telegraph reported that there is one aboriginal tracker left now and he's 64.
If following US practice he will won't be brought in alive so the bounty won't be paid. Clearly the bloke is a bit of a nutter but is an excellent bushman. I would not want to meet him out on a campsite. I used to work and camp around that area when I worked for the government back in the 90s.
Ross Cameron wrote the following;
A couple of brief paragraphs sums up the situation nicely. My estimates of police force size were about right.
^ read the whole article on the link. But those 3 paragraphs are some of the most interesting I've read all year. Right up there is OBCT's work in the Longboard Room. Yes, there is a Longboard Forum hidden amongst the forum directory tree! 
We have started to call the Longboard Room an "open bar". No fighting, no verbal abuse, no baiting, not 1 conspiracy all year, nobody trying to show anyone how good they are. Oops, sorry, I'm in the General Forum. Just had a moment of clarity...
Sounds really boring now
