FormulaNova said...kiteboy dave said...
^^^ just to clarify for our australian listeners, what happened in the US will never happen here. Our property markets are entirely different. Our property laws are entirely different. Our mortgages are set up differently. Our economies are different. Our people and their attitudes to housing are different. Every single factor that influences a property market is.. wait for it... entirely different.
So while it's interesting to hear Beagle describe what happened there, keep in mind that it's entirely irrelevant to our situation.
Is does make you wonder though. Even though we can't just walk away from our mortgages, I wonder if the banks here were lending easier than they should have been? It seemed very easy there for a while for people to get 'no doc' loans, and IF there were huge drops in the values, then they would be risky.
I am just annoyed though, as I had to provide a few years of tax returns and documentation when I applied for a loan, only to see a few years later banks allowing minimal documentation or low doc loans (with a higher rate of course).
Aus banks had and still have a very stringent lending policy, whereas the US banks were lending >100% of loans without 'bricks & mortar' security, that is why we'll never go down the same road as the US. The other reason is that our (main) banks are gov't backed. My wife was a home finance manager for 15 years and although I don't delve into the subject too much (it does my head in), she's 'enlightened' me on the differences on a few occasions when people have asked the question.
Re; homes - Aus is still holding it's own and although some 'big-ticket' properties have dropped, the median prices across the board haven't dropped much. The building industry has slowed, whilst the population is ever increasing. Demand for housing will bottle-neck imo & another property boom is coming, but it will be a while and will also depend on if the money is about to fund it. If not - the increasing demand & lack of coin will force the hand of the government's building legislation (structural standards, energy efficiency etc.) will be dropped to allow another generation of 'very' cheap homes as were built throughout the 70's/80's & early 90's. I hope not!
As a 'drafty' doing custom residential building design work, most of my work has gone from >$600k homes & >$200k renovations to <$400k homes & <$150k renos. The big homes are still being designed & built, but not as common as they were a few years ago & the focus is back on not over-capitalising, whereas that went out the window from about 2000-2008. Most people are now a bit more budget conscious & frugal with their spending. This trend results in smaller homes, that are energy efficient and economically built.
Btw dmitri - WA brickies are cheap, VIC builders are exxy - that addresses the cost.

From memory WA is mainly double brick due to the brick supplier & perhaps due to the lack of plantation forestry (?), but I was under the impression that it was also due to the high termite issue - Perth especially.