Is it true that the cyclone activity up north signifies the end of the season? Just wondering if we're copying last year, good month in November, average December followed by sh!t January?
Isn't it just cause its so f'ing hot that it kills the breeze? When it cools down again we'll get the breezes back! Stay positive!
It feels like it up here. The last decent wind we had was before christmas.
Humid, rain and thunderstorms already.
Just said on foxtel weather that this hot spell is the hottest spell in Perth in the last twenty years
I thought the heat would bring the seabreeze in no?? Land heats up, sea doesn't, causes pressure gradient between the two and presto!! Seabreeze..
Am I thinking of this the wrong way?? If not, why the heat without the fun wind??
Check the synoptic charts out. See the big trough caused by the northern low. This stalls the highs coming through and they just sit there in the bight warming everything up the coast. You need a high from out west to just touch the continent yeh sure for a pressure gradient to create a south westerly wind direction couple this with the land heating and you not only get the right direction but that infill we all feel at about 4 ish. Right now its a load of donkey sh1t bollocks messing with my head!
It is a bit reminiscint of the last 2 Perth seasons. Particularly 10/11.. Up to Xmas was sweet. 40 degrees on Xmas day and the temps didn't change much for the remainder of the season = limp ass seabreezes.
But hey got out yesterday! Was a bit of a surprise actually.. Has been a couple of ok breezes this season when it's been hot - not really the norm
Sadly, kiting as my over-arching summer activity here in WA has ceased. For the past 3 years there has not been a distinct season as we used to know it. Low pressure systems now dominate our summers and proper seabreezes are rare.
The current trough and synoptic condition are just the symptoms. As such do not explain anything!! Something much more sinister seems to be afoot and we should be asking ourselves *WHY* the mentioned troughs have become permanent, putting an end to our sport.
The "WHY?" is due to seasonal shifts in water temperatures.
There is plenty of info on the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) published by the Bureau:http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/IOD/about_IOD.shtml
According to the Bureau the outlook for the Tropical Pacific (which seems to affect the IOD) remains neutral, thus suggesting more WA breezes to come, perhaps:
www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
There is a lot of comparison being drawn on this forum of the 2007-2009 period to the 2010-2012 period. Differences can probably be attributed to:
** 2007-09 Primarily being El Nino and Negative IOD
** 2010-12 We move to La Nina and Positive IOD
** 2013 seems to be neither La Nina nor El Nino (neutral ENSO) and PositiveIOD
Troughs happen every year in WA, and this one is no exception. Add a cyclone up north and it can make them a bit more prolonged than usual.
Wind will be back to normal programming soon...
Read how it works here:
www.seabreeze.com.au/info/wind.asp
Also, check the latest synoptic (click on 7 day forecast) .. cyclone fades, high cell approaches from SW with a cold front brushing the south coast.
Fresh breezes & a pulse of swell... happy days not too far off.. 
www.seabreeze.com.au/graphs/wa_synoptic.asp?loc=PERT&stateid=0
Rising water temperatures seem to me to be just another symptom in a chain of events...not a cause.
I'd be interested to know why you think the water temperatures are so high?
Another stroke of random bad luck, all being well otherwise?
---- I would LIKE to believe you, but the charts look nothing like they used to for this time of the year. Of course troughs did occurr, but they did not *dominate* an entire season.
Well I was out kiting at least 4 or 5 times a week up until the day after Boxing Day. Sure we have been troughed out the last 4 or 5 days, but I don't think you can say the season has been dominated by troughs.
Seems like a pretty windy summer to me so far.
Dave, that was my original point I kited at least 20 days in nov, but less in dec, what does jan hold.
Last year when the cyclones appeared up north the season faulted and we saw a lot of trough's and was thinking this year was heading down the same path.
Yup, that was one semi-frontal day forecast. Presently it's gone even WORSE with another trough on the way!
It used to be green arrows all week, all month! Proper thermal conditions. Body would ache, eyebrows bleached white from constant kiting. In January I'd be kite tripping up and down the coast, Port Gregory, Corros, Cervantes, Wedge etc etc ------forever gone.
Another non season.
Stop being such a negative nancy. We always get a week or two of troughed out conditions - its no different. Apart from the last two weeks the season so far has been epic.
1troughy week easily makes up for the thumping swell on Friday I'd rather be fresh to kite all day than marginally tired from sub average conditions. Channel busting at the point yeeeeeeeeew
hey guys were worn out from suping kiting and surfing .What a season!!!
hope theres wind for kitestock
